Thursday, May 15, 2014

Venezuela, the Latest Obama Foreign Policy Failure

While the world is watching Ukraine, violent street protests are increasing in another hot spot. Yesterday and today, police in Venezuela detained 80 student demonstrators demanding the release of 200 fellow protesters arrested in anti-government marches last week. The current protests began with hundreds of students marching peacefully through the streets of the capital Caracas, but security forces clashed with some of the demonstrators who threw stones and home-made explosives and tried to erect barricades. More than 40 people have been killed during three months of unrest in Venezuela, mostly in Caracas. Officials say that last week the security forces were trying to break up protest camps being used as bases to launch "violent attacks" and to hide "drugs, weapons, explosives and mortars." But a university student at the march told AP : "there was never a problem due to drugs, weapons or alcohol. We are demanding that they show us the reasons why they arrested them." Student leader Juan Requesens told the Efe news agency that they will continue to protest despite the arrests : "The government is trying to suppress us by continuing to detain students. We will not bow down and will continue our protests." ~~~~~ A wave of violent demonstrations triggered by high inflation, rampant crime and food shortages has swept over Caracas. The protesters are demanding that the government do something to alleviate the problems of neighborhood and campus security (Venezuela has the fifth highest murder rate in the world, with rampant crime in urban centers), record inflation (official figures show an annual inflation in December 2013 of 56.2%) and shortages of basic food items, such as cooking oil, flour and toilet paper. But the government of President Nicolas Maduro has labelled the protesters "fascist agitators" and accused them of fomenting a coup against his socialist administration. The protests began in early February in the western states of Tachira and Merida when students demanded increased security after a female student alleged she had been the victim of an attempted rape. The protests in Tachira turned violent, leading to the arrest of several students, which then led to demonstrations in Caracas calling for their release. The Caracas demonstrations started on February 12, and when three people were shot by gunmen following a largely peaceful march, the protests turned violent. Since then, a loose coalition of the original students has formed with political protesters from within the umbrella opposition group Table for Democratic Unity. Leopoldo Lopez, a former mayor, and Maria Corina Machado, an MP, are the main political figures in the movement. According to many observers and opposition leader Henrique Capriles, the protests are now made up of a middle-class majority, with middle-class concerns.The latest clashes between Caracas protesters and security forces come a day after the Venezuelan political opposition put a hold on ongoing talks with the government. The two sides began meeting last month in an attempt to find a way out of the current crisis. The government accuses the opposition of trying to stage a US-backed coup and has arrested a number of opposition leaders on charges of inciting violence. It has compared the protests to a brief coup against Hugo Chavez in 2002. The opposition has accused pro-government motorcycle gangs, as well as security forces, of shooting live rounds into opposition crowds. The government accuses the "fascists" of instigating the violence and riots and encouraging people to erect barricades. A number of motorcyclists have been decapitated by barbed wire strung across residential streets to hinder the security forces. ~~~~~ Wednesday, Venezuelan security forces arrested 105 people during a Caracas round-up as protests against the government increased in the turmoil of a widening split within the opposition over whether to back possible US sanctions. Political observers say that by halting the talks, moderate opposition leaders were bowing to pressure from their own more radical base, which is furious over the mass arrests and the confusing statements about sanctions by top US diplomat to Latin America, Roberta Jacobson, assistant secretary of state for Western Hemisphere affairs. Jacobson testified last week in the US Senate that some members of Venezuela's opposition urged the White House to delay action on a proposal to ban visas and seize the assets of Venezuelan officials who have committed human rights abuses since February. Sanction legislation has cleared a House committee with bipartisan support. And, in a heated exchange with Florida Republican Senator Marco Rubio, Jacobson said the delay is needed to avoid endangering the outcome of the government-opposition talks and that opposition politicians at the negotiating table had explicitly asked the State Department for more time before imposing sanctions. On Wednesday, Jacobson retracted her comment, telling reporters in Washington that she misspoke and that nobody participating in the talks had made such a request. But her comments have caused a political rift in the opposition. Ramon Guillermo Aveledo, the head of the Democratic Unity alliance, denied any such request was made, while students and hardliners, who are boycotting the talks, used Jacobson's comments, and Aveledo's failure to call for sanctions, as proof of betrayal. Divisions within the opposition have become apparent, with moderates objecting to the timing of street protests in February just two months after the government prevailed in mayoral elections. The strategy of hardline groups is to force Maduro's resignation by rallying international opinion against his government. But in contrast to the US, condemnation has been slow to materialize among Latin American governments. Moderate leaders support talks with the government. Others want sanctions to drive out Madura. ~~~~~ Dear readers, we may add to the growing list of Obama foreign policy blunders - Syria, Israel, Libya, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran, Russia, Ukraine and now Venezuela. And this time it was the loose tongue of an American diplomat who should have known better than to expose the Venezuelan opposition as the reason for any Obama sanctions decision in Venezuela. Closed-door briefings to Congress by an administration are commonplace. This approach was not used by Jacobson and her retractions are worse than dangerous - they are corrosive to the trust that must form the basis for any diplomatic activity. Here, it is all of Latin America that now will see the US as diplomatically untrustworthy. This will only add to the impression that the Obama foreign policy sees little value in its southern neighbors. This impression had already sent Russia and China scurrying around South America to fill the void. The Venezuelan gaff will only accelerate their activities. The Monroe Doctrine - respected by the world for almost 200 years - is in tatters and America's southern flank is now exposed to any non-western-hemisphere power that chooses to make use of Obama's latest foreign policy failure.What is particularly disheartening about Obama's latest failure is that Venezuelans are now feeling the full pinch of the socialist-Communist non-market economic programs of Hugo Chavez. Maduro, the handpicked successor of Chavez, has none of his charisma. He has only force. This could make an overthrow of the Venezuela socialists much more likely. Venezuelans have a democratic tradition that could quickly put the country back on its feet. But, the clumsy actions of Obama's diplomatic messenger puts all this in jeopardy. One can only hope it was done in amateur naivety and not by deliberation.

8 comments:

  1. There seems to be an epidemic of foreign policy problem around the world. Most recent of the Obama foreign policy mistakes include Syria, Israel, Libya, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran, Russia, Ukraine, Crimea, North Korea, Japan, and now Venezuela. One could look at these hot/trouble spots and deduce that they are all in very unstable parts of the world, and except for two (Israel & Japan) their leaders are outright fanatical religious zealots that are completely out of touch with the entirety of their countries citizens; and therefore are the source of the pandemonium within their countries.

    If one was an enthusiastic Obama supporter this logic would be ideal and right down the old Obamaism (my word) philosophy – “Promise everything, deliver nothing, and blame someone else.”

    If one was, on the other hand, a fact-finding individual a different conclusion lies between the lines. Has enough flawed miscalculations occurred from Team Obama in foreign affairs that the straw that breaks the camel back been applied to the ever growing pile of erroneousness decisions?

    Jack Nicholas once in his early career answered a reporter’s question about how long he thought he could keep winning. Jack said that there are only so many swings in any golfer’s arms and when they are used up, they are gone forever. So is the same logic valid for a presidents number of bad decisions and has Obama now surpassed that “X” amount allotted?

    ReplyDelete
  2. De Oppressor LiberMay 15, 2014 at 3:27 PM

    True dialogue, a key element in democratic societies, has not existed in Venezuela. Elections were used as an excuse to legitimize a ruthless majority rule over a minority with limited rights. The majority of course is not really a majority, but it is embedded in the power of a government that keeps growing, at the expense of civil and political liberties. Indeed, the government has displayed totalitarian behavior, and this is the general direction in which it is currently going.

    Although, some may argue whether the Venezuelan regime is totalitarian or not, its aspirations are definitely totalitarian. From the outset, the regime declared itself revolutionary and did everything possible to perpetuate itself in power via repression and other means of intimidation, while denying the legitimacy of any other truth except its own ideology.

    On May 8, while Assistant Secretary of State for the Western Hemisphere Roberta Jacobson was testifying before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Nicolás Maduro, the president of Venezuela was arresting 240 student protestors. Jacobson’s main argument is that imposition of sanctions would undermine the current dialogue “while it still offers a chance of progress.” This puts the Obama Administration at odds with Democrats in both the House and the Senate who believe the time has come to pressure the Venezuelan government. In fact, since the beginning of the dialogue, the government has arrested more than 500 protestors. Protests in Venezuela have been going on for the last four months due to shortages of basic goods, a spectacularly high crime rate, a 57 percent inflation rate (officially), and an increasingly oppressive government.

    Does Jacobson/Obama presume that the Venezuelan government will engage in dialogue with the opposition when so many of them are now incarcerated?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. De Oppressor LiberMay 16, 2014 at 8:07 AM

      As what is being reported previously today about Ms. Jacobson position and retraction:
      “In a fiery exchange with Florida Republican Marco Rubio, Jacobson said the restraint is needed so as not to endanger the outcome of the talks and that opposition politicians at the negotiating table had explicitly asked the State Department for more time before imposing any sanctions. On Wednesday, Jacobson retracted her comment, telling reporters in Washington that she misspoke and that nobody participating in the dialogue had made such a request.”

      Yet one more example about Obama’s ambassadorial executives that they come fully unprepared except for the fact they have a “PASSPORT”.

      Delete
  3. The Obama Administration would not know a "foreign policy" unless it spoke to them (Obama) in a unrecognizable Latin dialect.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Stand Up & Be CountedMay 16, 2014 at 8:28 AM

    As we all discuss the problems of the over zealot leftist rulers around the world. Here is a scarey thought that is being played out in quiet courtrooms and detention centers around the United Sates right now.

    Constitutional attorney John W. Whitehead writes: “No matter what the Obama administration may say to the contrary, actions speak louder than words, and history shows that the U.S. government is not averse to locking up its own citizens for its own purposes. What the NDAA (National Defense Authorization Act) does is open the door for the government to detain as a threat to national security anyone viewed as a troublemaker. According to government guidelines for identifying domestic extremists—a word used interchangeably with terrorists, that technically applies to anyone exercising their First Amendment rights in order to criticize the government.

    Even a dissenter from days long ago one Daniel Ellsberg notes that Obama’s claim of power to indefinitely detain people without charges or access to a lawyer or the courts is a power that even King George – the guy we fought the Revolutionary War against – didn’t claim. (And former judge and adjunct professor of constitutional law Andrew Napolitano points out that Obama’s claim that he can indefinitely detain prisoners even after they are acquitted of their crimes is a power that even Hitler and Stalin didn’t claim.)

    Also the former TOP NSA official who created NSA’s mass surveillance system says, “We are now in a police state“.

    The world has changed nearly overnight. Our leaders for the most part are really our archenemies. Follow the facts …not your heart. Following your heart will cloud the fact because of the tears in you eyes.

    ReplyDelete
  5. “Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one.”
    ― Thomas Paine

    The worst state is being demonstrated in the four corners of the world. from the Middle East, to Ukraine, to Africa, to South America, to Cambodia and Thailand, to selected leaders in Europe, and most certainly to the United States. The last great bastions of freedom are being shut down.

    And as Thomas Paine also is quoted as saying ... "If there must be trouble, let it be in my day, that my child may have peace.”

    ReplyDelete
  6. Watching Obama and his foreign Policy team try to maneuver their way around the Augusta national Golf Course of diplomacy is akin to watching someone TRY to play championship course after spending every Saturday morning at the local 9 hole, 3250 yard par 36 course.

    What one has in common with the other is nothing more than the size of the golf ball. Not even the straight cut of the hole on each green is the same. You’d be surprised what difference a well rolled over edge on a hole will do for a very bad putt.

    OK so much for my attempt to prove how out of place the Obama team is compared to the foreign policy practitioners from other (lesser countries as Obama sees them) countries that that have years of failure behind them.

    My point is that the ‘nincompoops’ chosen by Obama to do his bidding on the world stage need some serious lessons from those they consider to be children of a lesser god than they.

    ReplyDelete
  7. If you are content with the happenings in the Middle East, South Africa, South America, eastern Europe, if you like the results that President Obama and secretaries of State Kerry and Clinton has brought to our shores, if you like the job market right now, if upgrading you present home (if you still have a home and don’t believe that Dodd-Frank law is killing that market) is in your plan for this year … then LIVE THE DREAM!

    Then live the dream to the fullest because the sequel to that dream is coming to your living room very soon. It won’t be a ‘dream’ but instead a NIGHTMARE full of all the most calamitous events that you have never imagined.

    ReplyDelete